Debt-Ceiling Relief May Be Short as Focus Turns to T-Bill Deluge

  • US Treasury needs to replenish its thinned-out cash pile
  • T-bill issuance could drive bank borrowing costs higher
Debt-Limit Deal Brings Relief Tinged by Caution
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Bond traders look set to pivot from worrying the US wouldn’t raise its debt limit to fretting about what the increase means for money markets.

The concern is that with a tentative deal pending, the Treasury will soon replenish its cash balance by selling more than $1 trillion of bills through the end of the third quarter, according to recent estimates. The US cash stockpile currently sits at $39 billion, the lowest since 2017.